Good Bye Carl Pohlad
This afternoon, Carl Pohlad died. He was 93 years old.
I’ve had my differences with Pohlad over the years. And while he was the owner of the Twins, it was always very easy to villainize him. Demanding interest from the state on an $80 million “gift,” threatening to sell the team to a North Carolina businessman, attempting to contract the team, refusing to increase payroll despite being the wealthiest owner in baseball, building his fortune by foreclosing on people’s farms during the Great Depression (which hits the heartstrings particularly hard these days), and a history of shady business deals on which he always seems to come out ahead are all reasons Pohlad’s been the butt of many angry jokes over the years.
But now is most certainly not the time to focus on those things. Despite all the threats, Pohlad kept the team in Minnesota throughout the dark years of the 1990s. He signed Kent Hrbek to the largest contract in baseball history, and Kirby Puckett to the largest contract ever offered to an outfielder, just to keep them with the Twins (that both contracts were superseded immediately is unimportant). He stayed out of the way enough for Terry Ryan to rebuild the franchise to its current level of perpetual quality — notice that most owners demand either short-sighted moves that hurt the team in the long run, or payroll-slashing moves that hurt the team even more. And he won two World Series championships in his tenure as owner.
He finally managed to win a new stadium, and the greatest tragedy of his life is that he won’t live to see it.
Today is a dark day for Twins fans, and I’m sad to see Pohlad go. The future is uncertain — will his sons take over in Steinbrenner-like fashion? If they do, will they spend their father’s money more freely, or will they be more spendthrift? If they don’t, who will buy the team now, when big money is hard to come by — and will the team stay in Minnesota? I’m hoping for status quo or better, but without Carl around things just might get worse.
But there are a couple things that give me hope.
The first is that Pohlad’s sons work for the Twins, and one of them has been groomed for many years to take over the team. All three of his sons have been taking more control of the team as Pohlad has aged rapidly in the last decade. That points to status quo.
The second is a statement from son Robert Pohlad:
“My dad started with nothing, worked very hard and has been tremendously successful. I think he truly believes that if he doesn’t work hard, he’s gonna be back on a food line or a bread line … looking for his next meal.”
That’s a pretty typical mindset for people of that generation; it’s the generation of packrats, constantly in fear that their life will plunge back to those terrible days and they’ll have nothing. It makes sense … and it also makes sense that people who grew up in subsequent generations would not share those same fears.
His sons grew up in said subsequent generations, during the boom years of the second half of the 20th century; they’ve seen recessions and bouncebacks, they’ve seen that the economy rebounds every time, and most of all, they’ve always had money. Lots of money. They’ve seen their father make money faster than he could possibly spend it, and they’ve seen his fortune grow to the 100th largest in America.
It’s more than possible that his sons recognize the fact that they’re not taking it with them, that the fortune will last long enough to pass on to their own children, and their children’s children, in perpetuity. Payroll could easily go up, rising above the 52% of revenue limit. It’s something to hope for; a little upside, as it were.
So rest in peace, Carl Pohlad. Your time in Minnesota was a good one, and you will be missed. Thanks for all the good times, and good teams.
And condolences to the Pohlad family. Follow in your father’s footsteps — keep the team in Minnesota and in the family. But don’t be afraid to step a few feet from the tree, and spend a few bucks. (It’ll help you get respect from the fans while you’re still alive.)
Go Twins. The team will outlast us all. That’s the ultimate hope of every fan.
No commentsDerosa to Cleveland - Don’t Panic
So the Indians completed a trade with the Cubs. The Indians get Mark Derosa to replace Casey Blake (and to keep him away from the Twins, who were also interested). The Cubs get three no-name pitching “prospects” in return; one who split time in AA and AAA and might make the bullpen this year, and two in Low-A ball.
Obviously, now all the Twins fans are furious. They’re pissed at Bill Smith and the rest of the front office for sitting on their hands and not making a deal that, in the minds of these fans, would DEFINITELY have helped the team. With Derosa manning third base, these fans say, the Twins are an unstoppable juggernaut who will win 110 games and dominate all the way to the World Series! Without him, this team is nothing but a ragtag group of nobodies who will be proud of their inevitable fourth place finish. Clearly, Mark Derosa is the key, the lynch pin, the final ingredient! Allowing him to pass through our fingers is an unforgivable mistake; especially since he has gone to the Cleveland Indians, who will now be the favorite in the AL Central since they’ve replaced Casey Blake with Mark Derosa.
Casey Blake, 2008: .274/.345/.463, 21 HR, 81 RBI
Mark Derosa, 2008: .285/.376/.481, 21 HR, 87 RBI
Mark Derosa, Career 162 game average: .279/.348/.422, 13 HR, 64 RBI (ie, that’s closer to what we’d get from him given the fact that Wrigley is a great hitter’s park and he had a career year)
Obviously, Derosa is going to put the Indians over the top. After all, he’s so much better than Blake was! And obviously he’s all the Twins needed to get to the World Series, given that those career averages are SO much better than what we can possibly hope to get from a Buscher/Harris platoon. The sky is falling, for Christ’s sake, and we need to do some saber-rattling to let the front office know how badly they’ve blown this! Obviously.
But the problem here is not with the Twins’ front office. It’s not some reputation that we’re not willing to give up anything good. It’s much worse than that — something the Twins can’t do anything about.
The Twins are renowned around baseball for getting the better side of trades. People point to our questionable acquisition of Johan Santana, and they point to the Nathan/Liriano/Bonser Heist, and they think “Watch out for those Twins, they’ll take everything you’ve got and leave you holding the bag!” So they do everything they can to make sure we don’t screw them.
Thus, when the Rays were trying to unload their talented but immature corner outfielders last year, they demanded an ace pitcher and a starting shortstop and a talented minor league reliever (in fact demanding that we upgrade the deal from Rincon) from us to get one of them. The other went to the Nationals for a PTBNL.
Last offseason, anyone we tried to talk to demanded Garza+Baker+Slowey in any trade, for whichever of their players we wanted. Obviously, Smith didn’t let that happen.
This year, the Rockies want Slowey+Span for Atkins. The Cubs wanted Slowey+Span for Derosa. The Mariners want Slowey+Span+Baker+prospects for Beltre. Everyone we talk to demands at least Slowey and Span for whatever one year rental they decide their willing to gift us.
Bill Smith wisely refuses all these “deals,” saying “We’ll give you less than that. You’re not getting that much for what you’re giving us.” And the other teams let us walk away, knowing that if they want lesser prospects they can go elsewhere. And so they do — they drop from a top notch starter straight down to a PTBNL elsewhere. They drop from Slowey+Span straight down to some non-prospect minor leaguers from our division rival.
That’s not Smith’s fault. And he shouldn’t have had to try to “outbid” the Indians; people are somehow recommending that Smith erred by failing to offer Swarzak and Humber and Slama and Manship. The problem with that thinking is that each one of those guys is much more valuable than anyone the Indians gave up. The Twins should have been going even lower down, but the Cubs weren’t willing to go there with the Twins. (And another thing for those who think the Indians gave up nothing — one of their Low-A pitchers threw 100 strikeouts in 64 innings this year. That’s pretty solid.)
Others accuse Smith of being unwilling to give up any of our starters to improve the team, and that this is a foolish mistake. They go further and claim that this trade indicates that the Cubs were willing to take a package consisting of nothing but minor leaguers, and therefore Smith failed to upgrade the 2009 team at the expense of future years. These fans fail to realize two things. First, the deal was not available to the Twins — when the Cubs were talking to the Twins, they were willing to accept nothing less than a major league starter and a major league starter; they dropped their demands after ending discussions with the Twins and realizing that the market for Derosa is not, in fact, booming and that the Twins were not trying to rob them. Second, sacrificing a big part of the future by trading Swarzak/Slama/Manship is unwise — these are the guys who will stock our rotation in 2011. A farm system stocked with pitching prospects is the holy grail of a baseball organization, and the Twins have it; it would be moronic at best to sacrifice that for a one year rental of an average player whose stats in his age 32 season were inflated by his home stadium.
I’m a fan for the long term. I’m excited to see Swarzak and Manship develop as players and get up to the majors in the next few years. Likewise, the Twins are planning for the long term. They know the current crop of starters may not remain healthy and effective indefinitely. They also know that if they DO remain healthy and effective, then we won’t be able to afford them any more, which is why we need new starters coming in to replace them and keep up our competitiveness.
The league is full of franchises who thought it’d be a good idea to mortgage their future for a shot at glory this year. Almost all of them failed that year, and for years after that are derelict franchises with an empty farm system and dead weight on their overpaid roster and a losing record. Twins fans should be thrilled that we’re not in that position, and that the front office is doing everything in their power to make sure we don’t get there.
And if that means they don’t buy high on aging players while selling low on promising young talent, then fine. If it means that wintertime is usually boring and we have to watch as other teams shuffle the deckchairs in an attempt to make their fans think they’re doing something, then fine. We’ll see you when pitchers and catchers report; we have the best of those.
So just relax. The Twins are doing what they should do — not panic. As Twins fans, we should follow their lead. Don’t panic.
17 commentsThe Sheer Brilliance of Torii Hunter
In case anyone’s been wondering what Torii Hunter has been up to lately, well, he’s been talking. Not surprising at all.
“He said he really wanted to come back, but he needed the Angels to step up. I didn’t know what he meant, because I thought eight years and $160 million was a pretty impressive offer.”
—Hunter, on what Mark Teixeira told him.
That’s … brilliant, Torii. Just brilliant. Perhaps someone will point out to Torii that three years and $45 million is also pretty impressive, and that he himself took the larger offer just a year ago.
If anyone’s going to understand Teixeira’s motivations in going to New York for a ludicrous amount of money, it ought to be Torii Hunter. In Torii’s world, the Twins didn’t “step up” to fulfill his contract demands, and he left for someplace offering bigger dollars deeper into an uncertain future. Teixeira did the same thing. Why does Torii have a problem with this?
Oh. One more thing. Teixeira only spent a couple of months in Los Angeles of Anaheim of California, or wherever the Angels play. Did anyone think that’d be enough time to develop enough connections to consider a “hometown discount” to stay with the free spending Angels? Especially Torii, for whom ten years wasn’t long enough?
I miss Torii Hunter. I love it when he opens his mouth. Pure gold, really.
I also have the feeling that that’s yet another area in which Gomez will eventually replace his production — but as with hitting and baserunning, he’s got quite a ways to go to match Torii. Keep working at it Carlos, you’ll make it eventually.
(And can we also hope for Denard to be a dark horse in the “Replacing Torii” sweepstakes? He’s largely been happy and congenial thus far, but so was Torii when he was younger. And Torii passed along the “play angry” wisdom to Denard, who took it to heart and apparently turned his career around. So it may be only a matter of time before Angry Denard hits the media and gives us some Torii-like craziness. I can’t wait. We could have two Torii-mouths in our outfield soon!)
No commentsTeixeira and the Mighty Yankees!
So Mark Teixeira went to the Yankees. When I got home and flipped on Sportscenter, I was treated to recordings from Boston radio stations with callers calling Tex “the worst mercenary ever,” and other unfriendly names. This from the same fans who were drooling over him just hours earlier. I think it’s stupid and unfair to call someone a “mercenary” for taking a better offer. It just doesn’t make any sense. Also, he had no ties to Boston — why do these callers think he owes them something? (And another thing — why was ESPN playing clips from Boston radio shows, and why were all the analysts talking about what this means for the Red Sox, rather than what it means from the Yankees? Have the stopped pretending they’re not just a Red Sox Fan show?)
Well, now that Tex will be wearing pinstripes, everyone is now convinced that they’re the team to beat, not only in the AL East, but in the entire AL. I don’t know how much one guy can add … especially to an offense that was lackluster at best last season.
Prospective Yankees lineup (2008 OPS+):
Damon (118)
Jeter (102)
Teixeira (151)
Rodriguez (150)
Matsui (108)
Posada (103)
Nady (105)
Swisher (92)
Cano (86)
The order might be a little different, and is sure to change over the course of the season. They have quite a few good hitters on this team. Except … take a look at those OPS+ numbers. Other than, obviously, the two best hitters in the AL in the heart of the order, nobody else on there is especially scary. I mean, it’s impressive that they have seven average starters, and Swisher could certainly lift his hitting ability back to its normal levels, but Damon, Matsui, Jeter and Posada aren’t getting any younger and will continue to decline.
Here’s the Twins prospective lineup (2008 OPS+):
Span (125)
Casilla (94)
Mauer (137)
Morneau (137)
Young (102)
Kubel (118)
Buscher/Harris (100/97)
Punto (99)
Gomez (79)
We have more below average players, but we’re very close to having fewer, given how close a few of our players are to 100. And considering the fact that Buscher and Harris could be used in a better platoon, both of them could turn in a better OPS, given the fact that they won’t be facing same-handed pitching very often. And while the heart of our order isn’t anywhere close to theirs, it’s still pretty good. (A lot of lineups would like to have a pair of 137 OPS+es in their lineup, especially from guys who are also good defensively.) And it’s a young team — it’s easily within the realm of possibility that we see improvements from Casilla, Young, and Gomez.
I don’t see the addition of Teixeira making the Yankees offense suddenly an unstoppable juggernaut. It’s barely better than the Twins’ and the gap is smaller than the gap between Mauer/Morneau and Rodriguez/Teixeira. Throughout the rest of the lineup, the Twins are actually better offensively, better defensively, younger, and cheaper.
(And before anyone calls me crazy for comparing the super-juggernaut Yankees to the lowly “You’re still in the league?” Twins, note that the Twins scored more runs than the Yankees last year. The mighty Yankees are trying to catch up to the little Twins. Weird.)
Good for the Yanks to pick up the best hitter on the market. Combined with the top two pitchers on the market, they pulled down the biggest haul in the history of free agency. Possibly in any sport.
It makes them better. But I don’t think it justifies the combined anger and awe from BostonESPN. They’re still just another team.
No commentsA Twins Carol
Its pretty easy to make the Carl Pohlad-Ebeneezer Scrooge comparison, so I’m going not going to do it. Although I do think the Twins front office needs to be visited by three ghosts in order to jump start them out of this state of complacency they seem to be in. So, without further ado, FireGardy.com presents: A Twins Carol.
Bill Smith sits comfortably in his cozy metrodome office, basking in the glow of his most recent offseason move: the resigning of St. Nicholas Punto. A move sure to bring joy to all of the fans. As he dozes off, he is visited by the ghost of one of his old bosses: Andy MacPhail. MacPahil tells him he will be visited by three spirits who will guide him to make the correct decisions in running the Twins. Visibly shaken, Smith heads home to bed. But first leaves a memo to the scouting department to draft only pitchers in next June’s draft.
The Ghost of Baseball Past: The first visitor is actually two, Doug Mientkiewicz and Corey Koskie. They bring Smith back to the fall of 2002, the Twins first playoff berth since their World Series run in 1991. They remind Smith how much fun it was to be a part of the team that brought so much joy to fans. However, they were not content with just being in the postseason. Riding mostly a group of no-name players they beat the A’s and their vaunted Big Three in five games, only to fall to the eventual World Champs, the Angels. The Team was hungry, the former Twins remind Smith, he and Terry Ryan would need to build a winner out of this core group. The fans were hungry for more winning, and Ryan and Smith were in great position to feed them. 2002 was a happy time for the Twins and their fans, but one could see the dark and ominous clouds forming around the Metrodome. Smith asks what is in store for his beloved team, but he realizes he is back in his bed and Doug and Corey are nowhere to be seen.
The Ghost of Baseball Present: The next visitor is in the form of backup catcher Mike Redmond (thankfully wearing clothes). He brings smith to Las Vegas for the winter meetings, showing Bill for the first time what a GM sitting on his hands looks like. Mike summarizes the last few Twins baseball seasons for Bill, from a players point of view. He shows Bill that after that first playoff appearance or two, the Twins fell into a state of complacceny. Signed dreadful free agent, after dreadful free agent. Tiny Tony Batista was supposed to provide the much needed power threat the Twins have lacked since the mid 80’s. He didn’t last the season. Sidney Ponson, Ramon Ortiz, and Livan Hernandez, were supposed to provide a stabilizing veteran presence for young pitchers, none of them lasted a full season. Mike explains to Bill that all of this, and zero playoff wins since 2002 have caused Twins fans to be frustrated and embittered at the Twins inability to make moves. This comes to a head at the 2008 winter meetings, where Bill wanders around the Bellagio saying very little to the press, or to free agent infielders. He then calls a press conference to announce a huge signing that will solidify the left side of the infield for 2009. Nick Punto. As Mike and Bill watch on, even Smith realizes how stupid that is. He shouts at himself to no avail, as Mike explains to him “Nobody can hear you”. Worried at how dangerous a position the Twins are in for 2009, Mike returns Bill back to his home in Minnesota, telling him to wait for the final spirit.
The Ghost of Baseball Yet to Come: The final visitor arrives in the form of Carlos Gomez. Unable to speak any English, Gomez uses rapid hand guesstures to signal Bill to follow him. They arrive just over a year in the future. April 2010, in the bleachers of the new Target Field. Bill hardly recognizes the team that takes the field for that opening day. Toby Hall is behind the plate, and a hobbled Paul Konerko is playing first base. “What happened to Mauer and Morneau?” Bill asks Gomez. Carlos points to the opposing dugout, Mauer and Morneau are sitting in there wearing White Sox uniforms. “Oh no! I must have traded my two best players to the White Sox. But why?” Again, Gomez points to the suite level, and there sits Carl Pohlad throwing money around, laughing muttering something about scamming the tax payers into buying him a new stadium. Smith screams in terror, fearful that he will be unable to assemble a winning team when the new stadium opens. Gomez points again to visiting owners box, and there sitting next to Kenny Williams and Jerry Reisndorf if Smith himself “Jesus Christ, I work for the White Sox now?!” Smith wakes up in his own bed in a cold sweat, vowing to build a team that will not just compete for the division, but a team that will compete for a World Series title for years to come. He immediately jumps out of bed and begins to work on contract extensions for Baker, Liriano, and Slowey. While devising a clever way to get rid of Michael Cuddyer. The End.
Editor’s note: While I do not believe Carl Pohlad is required to spend all of his money on the team, I just thought it made for a more compelling story. Merry Christmas everyone.
5 commentsTwins Christmas Wish List
While it has become very clear that I have a different set of wishes (and possibly goals) for the Twins than they do for themselves, I am going to lay out a list anyway. While there really isn’t much I reasonably believe the Twins will go after, I also plan on throwing in a few things I wish for them NOT to do.
- Acquire one or two right-handed bullpen arms. If the price becomes too high, stick with what you have. Don’t sign a third or fourth tier free agent just because. Give more innings to Breslow and Mijares, not scrap heap players who were slightly below league average in 2000.
- Do not trade Kevin Slowey. I am pretty sure this has already come true, as it seems that Smith has turned down several trading partners who asked for Slowey. However, I would still like to stress it.
- Use Punto off the Bench in a utility role. This is where is is most (or the only way in which he is) valuable.
- Platoon Buscher/Harris correctly. If Buscher goes 4-4 with 2 homers or something against a righty, and a lefty is pitching the next day, do not start him because he is “hot”. Do it right. Buscher against righties, harris against lefties. No questions about it.
- Do not trade Delmon. His value is WAY down from a year ago. If we trade him now, there is no way we get anything close to Garza/Bartlett. I work in the financial industry, and buying high and selling low is not what you are supposed to do. Unless you hate money/winning.
That is about it. What else should the Twins do/not do? If Punto stays in a utility role like he should, who plays short? How many of my “wishes” will come true? My guess is none.
9 commentsJoe Posnanski has a man crush
Is it possible that Joe Posnanski is in love with Ron Gardenhire? He recently wrote a winter meetings recap and dedicateda paragraph to his lunch with Gardy. Now, I think Posnanski is a great baseball writer and I read almost everythingbaseball related he publishes. But this man is in love with Gardenhire. I can see how reporters like him, he seems to be very open and is good for sounds bites with his “aw shucks” manner. However, this piece kind of upset me. He said he thinks Gardy is the best manager in the game, but he then goes on to say if he watched all the games, saw how Gardy managed the bullpen, watched every single on of Nick Punto’s at bats he might think differently. What now? So you like Gardy because he is nice, that’s cool, I’m sure he is. But don’t go and say he is the best manager in the game without much basis. I get your point that if the players like the manager, they tend to play harder. However, that isn’t always enough. Gardy is a good manager, but the best in the league? What is that based on? Tony LaRussa arguably gets just as much, if not more, out of the same level on talent. In 2006, when he won the world series he had David f-ing Eckstein as his starting SS. He is worse than Nick Punto. Outside of Puljos, the Cards didn’t have an overly talented bunch. So I’d say the “getting the most out of the least” argument doesn’t really hold that much water.
Despite the name of this site, we think Gardy generally does a good job, but has serious room for improvement. Now Posnanski, a national columnist, is underminingeverything we are trying to do here. Damn. This is really more of a rant against Posnanski just saying things in a column without really backing it up. “Gardy is great, I don’t really watch him on a regular basis, but he is great”. Let the people who watch the Twins day in and day out do the talking, Joe. There are readers on this site who love Gardy and everything he stands for, and I respect that because they know A LOT about Twins baseball so they have more than no legs to stand on.
If he had to write this piece I wish he would have replaced “Ron Gardenhire” with “Twins baseball”. The Twins have really played this way for a while, I guess if you want to put a face to it you can, but we all know that the throwing strikes, and emphasis on defense is somethingthe organization stresses from draft day on. Not something Gardy institutes when players arrive in his clubhouse. He reinforces it, yes. And since the Twins don’t really keep any of the worthless free agents they sign, that’s not an issue.
So, in summation, I would like to state that Ron Gardenhire is getting WAY too much credit for how this franchise has fared. During all those crappy years under Tom Kelly we were stockpiling draft picks to get the players we have today. Maybe this is a sport-wide issue. Managers get way too much credit for the success of their organization. Its different than college football, where the head coach is in charge of recruiting players, developing players, and coaching the game. So from now on, if we want to praise the Twins, we really should remember everyone who contributes. Gardy is really a figurehead. Stan Cliburn (and his brother, I think its Stu or some other weird alliteration) are probably the best managers in the system.
Another thing I don’t like about Gardy, is he is loyal to a fault. I’m all for supporting your guys, and I like that he won’t sign an extension until his staff is signed. However, someone needs to take Ullgerbehind the woodshed and just end it. He is bad at everything, and the fact that he is the manager if Gardy is ejected or has to leave the team or whatever is just downright terrible. Terrible.
Well, that is my Friday morning rant. Have a good weekend everyone.
10 commentsTy-onara
Well, that didn’t take long. All sources indicate that the Twins are not going to pursue Ty Wigginton. Apparently his price tag was higher than Blake’s. He is 4 years younger, so he should make more than Blake. That’s basically what he is, a younger version of Casey Blake. This leaves the Twins with few to no options to upgrade the infield. I think we should accept that, and move on. The only other option is Mark Derosa of the Cubs. Nick and Nick weighs that option in his blog today, so I won’t delve in too deeply. He has a few main points, I’ll summarize:
- DeRosa only became a full time player 3 years ago, so despite being 34 he still “has a lot left in the tank”
- While primarily playing 2B, he also has logged a considerable amount of innings at third, playing slightly below average defense at both. This means we could try him at third, or play him at second and move Casilla to short and go with the Buscher/Harris platoon at third, moving Punto to super-utility.
- Had a career year last season, so will probably regress.
- Twins will undervalue him since he doesn’t play great defense, or isn’t really fast, and will offer the Cubs a garbage package, and the Cubs will laugh at us and tell us to go home.
- “The Fab 5″ are off limits, but someone of the Bonser/Humber variety is not.
OK, I guess that was more than just a summary. He makes some valid points, but I don’t think the Twins will be able to swing anything. I doubt they are comfortable enough with his defense at third (and Gardy would rather sacrafice his first born than take Punto out of the everyday lineup, so the infield shift suggested above is out of the question) to make the move. Oh well. He was a short term solution, who had one year remaining on his contract. I say we focus our attention and money on the bullpen.
Joe Nelson was recently non-tendered by the Marlins. He also appears to be the prettiest girl at the dance. In 2008, Nelson was 3-1 with a 2.00 ERA in 54 innings. He had 60 strikeouts to 22 walks, and gave up just 5 homers. He also sported a healthy 1.18 WHIP. While he is 34 years old, he doesn’t have too many innings at the major league level, and has about 700 total professional innings under is belt. That really isn’t that many, and as far as I know he has no history of arm trouble. Could 2008 be a fluke? Yes, it very well could be. The fact that he has 19 teams chasing him does not bode well for the Twins. Unless he prefers pitching for Rick Anderson and an organization that value pitching above all else, over pitching for the highest bidder. Which I doubt. Especially since he is 34 and hasn’t had a big payday yet.
Brandon Lyonis another option. In 2008 he pitched 59 innings, with 44 strikeouts to 13 walks and 7 homers. Very similar to Nelson. He was the D-backs closer for the first half, racking up 26 saves before losing the job. My concern with Lyon is he might take a job where he can be a closer. Nelson might be in the same boat. Both have closer-ish numbers, and might take more money and go to a bad team so they can be the ace of the bullpen.
The Twins should be courting both of these guys heavily. I would prefer not to go into the season assuming Bonser or Humber will be effective setup men. I think Bonser canbe, but when it comes to Boof, assume nothing. If they decide to go after a free agent relief pitcher, they might have to trade one of Bonser/Humber since both are out of options. Lets lay out who I think will be on the opening day 25 man roster so we can figure out how many roster spots we have:
- C- Mauer, Redmond (2)
- IF- Morneau, Casilla, Punto, Buscher, Harris, Tolbert (?) (6)
- OF- Span, Gomez, Cuddyer, Young, Kubel (5)
- SP- Baker, Liriano, Slowey, Blackburn, Perkins (5)
- RP- Nathan, Guerrier, Crain, Bonser, Humber, Mijares, Breslow (7)
That is a full roster, so I imagine someone has to go. I could see Breslow starting the year in the minors and the Twins bringing in some new blood to fill his spot. Or if they are able to unload Bonser or Humber, we can open up a spot that way. This is nearly the exact same 25 man roster we ended the season with. I don’t like change for the sake of change, but I think this team clearly had holes last year and assuming Gomez is going to get leaps and bounds better is not a good way to fill a hole. What do you guys think on possible roster configurations? Lets not get into who is starting and where, but just which 25 guys will head north in April.
12 commentsMidweek Roundup
After using a lot of words in this space to speculate who the Twins will acquire in their efforts to upgrade (whenever I use that word I get that stupid Beyonce DirecTV commercial stuck in my head, damn you television!) the left side of the infield; I’ve decided to address some other noteworthy items from around baseball.
According to ESPN Rafael Furcal is not a Brave after all. The rumors have been all over the place with this guy. A few weeks back he was reportedly shopping for houses in the bay area, then we heard The Royals offered him the most money. So let me get this straight, at one point the two front runners for the top FA shortsopt were the A’s and the Royals!? Am I taking crazy pills or what? Then Atlanta swoops in and as of late Monday/early Tuesday he was a Brave….again. Now as of the time I am writing this, he isn’t officially a Brave, but now the Dodgers have stepped in. This is pretty crazy. Edn result: Braves
In other LA related news, Manny isn’t getting the 4 year offers from every pro team on the planet as Scott Boras claimed. I’m pretty sure he expected 52 contract offers of 4 years, 90 million or some nonsense for his enigmatic client. Newsflash, Scotty, ain’t gonna happen. One way or another, your guy is going to end up in LA. Or technically Anaheim, I guess. Your two usual fall-back teams, (that you can trick into signing your client when the LA/NY/Boston’s of the world don’t want him) Detroit and Texas, aren’t biting. We all know Manny isn’t headed back to beantown, and while I’ve heard a few members of the Yankee front office are interested, I don’t see him going there. As for the Mets, their owner just lost a ton of money in the Madoff scheme, plus they aren’t looking for more outfielders. That leaves LA. If the Angels lose out on Tex, they will come knocking. So really, the Dodgers are the only team that appears to be making Manny a priority. This gives the team the upper hand. Everyone knows what they are getting in Manny, he is a lose cannon who can hit the crap out of the ball. But also drag your team down over the course of 162+ games. Manny even went as far as to threaten retirement if he didn’t get more attention on the free agent market. He is a child. Throws a tantrum when the gorwn-ups are “ignoring” him. Good move Manny, I’m sure everyone wants you as a teammate now. Here is my offer, the Twins will offer you the exact same contract they offered Casey Blake. That is all I’m willing to offer you. If only to metaphorically slap you and Boras in the face. Didn’t Boras call the Dodgers first offer “insulting” or something of the sort. Next up: Boras instructs Manny to hold his breath until he gets the offer he feels he deserves. End result: Dodgers.
Even thouh he is a Scott Boras client, the Mark Teixeria saga has been shockingly normal. Does Boras tailor his negotiation strategy to fit the personality of his clients? Perhaps. I really hope Tex goes to the O’s or Nats. Hometown team. I have a few friends who live in the DC area, and they are excited about being able to go the Nationals Park and see an actual player on the home team. Not a bunch of suckers.
The AJ Burnett signing seems to be a bad one for the Yankees. While he could be good next year, and maybe the year after. You are probably looking at 2.5-3 years of badness at an average of 16.5 a year. That is unfortunate. If the Yankees still feel the need to add more pitching, they might go after one of Ben Sheets/ Derek Lowe. Which makes their entire rotation a house of cards.
Finally, does anyone think Barry Bonds will have a job this year? I do not. At least not with a MLB team. Maybe he can get a job at Dennys or something, but in this job market, I wouldn’t count on it Barry.
15 commentsTy Wigginton
As everyone knows, the Astros non-tendered third baseman Ty WIgginton at Friday’s deadline. LEN3 wrote a piece about it over the weekend. Despite his name being similar to Ty Willingham, I think the Twins should go after him. He has the ability to hit for power, and play a competent third base. Last year at age 30, he had an OPS+ of 128, that is very good. His hitting line was .285/.350/.526, also excellent. Apparently the Twins have been a fan of Wigginton since his days in Tampa, but have never been able to swing a deal to get him. In 2008 he played 82 of the 111 games he played at third, with the rest coming in the OF. For his career he has played in 747 games, 527 of them coming at third. His career fielding percentage (not the greatest stat, I know, but bear with me) at third is .956, while not great it won’t be a downgrade from any of our other 3B options.
To summarize, he is a right handed, third baseman, with power. What’s not to like? Well, probably the price tag. Odds are he will get Casey Blake type money (how pathetic is that statement out of context?), something the Twins have shown they are not willing to do. If we can somehow convince Wigginton to come to Minnesota on a 2 year, 14-15 mil deal, I’d say we do it. The only thing we lose is money, which sucks, but we don’t have to give up draft picks or prospects, which are more valuable to the Twins than money. As of right now, I’d say he is our best outside option at third. The cost for Beltre, Atkins, etc. will be way too high. While Buscher and Harris would make for a fine platoon, I can see Gardy botching the platoon and going with the “hot hand” which you aren’t supposed to do in a true platoon. Brian Buscher should not be allowed to hit against lefties, its as simple as that. I have a feeling lots of teams are interested in Wigginton, which is why the Twins should be going after him early and often. Thoughts?
Update: Word is Furcal has signed with the Braves. So what do they do with the fine, young shortstop they already have? Move one of Furcal/Escobar to second? Or trade Escobar to the Twins for pennies on the dollar? I would take him in a trade for pitcher. A pitcher not named Slowey. With the braves losing Smoltz, and losing out on the Peavy sweepstakes, they might need an established Major League starter, would anyone be opposed to throwing them one of Blackburn/Perkins for Yunel Escobar? I know Gardy has named Punto our SS, but this team should take any left side infield upgrade it can get. For the record I have heard no rumors saying that a)the Brave are looking to move Escobar, or b) the Twins have asked about him. Its all speculation, which is all we can do during hot stove season.
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